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日本保守派政治家高市早苗贏得自民黨總裁選舉,成為該黨的第一位女性總裁,也很可能將成為日本首位女性首相。有分析人士擔心,其強硬外交立場或將激化與中國及韓國的關係。

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不過,林由香話鋒一轉:「目前正值自民黨內局勢艱難之際,我認為她可能會把重點放在黨內團結上,並在外交政策上謹慎行事,避免採取過於保守或強硬的立場。」

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林由香同時警告:「高市在處理日本與亞洲鄰國關係時態度強硬、立場保守。她在二戰歷史遺留問題上持鷹派立場,多次堅持參拜靖國神社,明知這會激化與鄰國的矛盾。因此有人擔心,她可能會加劇日本與中國、韓國之間的緊張關係。」

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高市在經濟上主張延續「安倍經濟學」路線——通過積極財政支出與寬松貨幣政策刺激增長,並多次批評日本央行的加息舉措。

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總之高市早苗的政治立場明顯偏右,她在歷史認知與國家安全問題上態度強硬,然而,歷史經驗表明,日本首相在上任後往往會在現實外交壓力下調整立場。正如安倍晉三在第二任期內逐漸從“修憲先鋒”、“保守的歷史觀”轉向務實外交,推進與中韓的友好關係一樣,高市早苗在就任後,預計也將暫時擱置部分意識形態等議題,以維持與中韓等近鄰國家的基本關係穩定,從她上面的一些發言來看,已經表現出了一定的靈活性。

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